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Monday, April 7, 2008

Gallup: Obama Opens Up New 9% Lead

The new Gallup tracking poll out today shows Obama with a statistically significant lead of 9% over Hillary Clinton, with Obama drawing support from 52% of responders compared to Clinton's 43%. As you can see from the below graph, Clinton has not led Obama since mid-March.


Update: Rasmussen has Obama with a 10-point lead, attracting 51% to Clinton's 41%:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama retaining a significant lead over Hillary Clinton for the third straight day in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Obama now attracts 51% of the vote while Clinton earns 41%. Obama leads by five points among Democrats and by a two-to-one margin among unaffiliated voters likely to take part in a Democratic Primary.

Obama’s support has now been at or above 50% for three straight days. Prior to this stretch, he had reached the 50% level just once in more than a year of daily tracking polls (see recent daily results). Still, given the nature of this campaign and of tracking polls, it will take a few more days to determine whether this signals a shift in the race or is merely statistical noise.

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