Tuesday, April 8, 2008
Obama Leads Clinton Among White Voters
One of the more infuriating myths being peddled in the mainstream media is that Obama somehow has a problem attracting support among white voters. Throughly debunking this misconception is this article from the Jed Report:
There's been no shortage of public handwringing about whether or not Barack Obama can attract support from white voters, particularly white men. Some of it has even been pushed by Hillary Clinton's campaign itself.
Most of the analysis has overlooked one important fact, however: Hillary Clinton has a bigger problem with white voters than Barack Obama.
New data from the Pew Research Center illustrates my point: although Hillary Clinton leads McCain among white women by three points, she trails among white men by twenty-three points. Meanwhile, Obama trails among white women by just one point, and trails among white men by fifteen. Obama's net margin relative to Clinton drops by four points among white women, but increases by eight points among white men.
Overall, that means Obama is doing slightly better with white voters than is Hillary Clinton.
And this is according to a poll conducted entirely after the Wright controversy played itself out.
Here's the data:
The article goes on to say that Obama's 43% support among white voters is particularly strong, especially considering that:
Read More: Barack Obama's mythical problem with whites
In 1992, Bill Clinton won 39% of white voters. In 1996, he won 43%. In 2000, Gore won 42%. In 2004, Kerry won 41%. So 43% is a pretty good starting point, especially with 7% undecided. (Obama currently trails McCain by 7%, while Gore lost by 12% and Kerry lost by 17%.)
Read More: Barack Obama's mythical problem with whites
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