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Monday, January 21, 2008
Obama's Obvious Electability Advantage
Andrew Sullivan highlights a good article on The New Republic Blog today that discusses Obama's obvious general election advantage:
[T]he available data here [are] not very ambiguous. Hillary Clinton is a highly unpopular figure. In the last Gallup survey, 50% of respondents have a favorable view of her, and 46% negative. Sometimes her averages goes higher, but sometimes it veers into negative territory. Obama has very high ratings. In the most recent poll, 59% view him favorably, 32% negatively. The difference between plus 4 and plus 27 is enormous--a Detroit Lions v. New England Patriots-size gap.
On top of that, independents who vote in the primaries and caucuses have shown a very strong preference for Obama over Clinton. That is the closest available approximation of a swing voter. (Some Clinton supporters have pointed to her strength among lower-income Democrats in the primary, but a low-income Democratic primary voter is not the same thing as a working class swing voter.)
Read More: Electability! via Andrew Sullivan ("But it looks as if, once again, the Republicans will rescue victory from the pit of doom and overcome their own issues and the Democrats will throw away their most compelling candidate since Kennedy to protect a dynasty's prerogatives.")
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